Showing posts with label harris. Show all posts
Showing posts with label harris. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 8, 2009

Example of the Different Polls: Harris, Coaches, BCS

BCS Standings - Updated: December 6, 2009
RK
Team
W-L
Harris
Coaches
CPU %
BCS






RK
Points
%
RK
Points
%


Prev
Avg
1
Alabama
13-0
1
2841
.9968
1
1470
.9966
1.0000
2
.998
2
Texas
13-0
2
2721
.9547
2
1409
.9553
.9200
3
.943
3
Cincinnati
12-0
4
2467
.8656
4
1280
.8678
.9300
5
.888
4
TCU
12-0
3
2579
.9049
3
1336
.9058
.8400
4
.884
5
Florida
12-1
5
2395
.8404
5
1240
.8407
.9100
1
.864
6
Boise State
13-0
6
2358
.8274
6
1216
.8244
.7800
6
.811
7
Oregon
10-2
7
2130
.7474
7
1096
.7431
.7800
7
.757
8
Ohio State
10-2
8
2081
.7302
8
1077
.7302
.5100
8
.657
9
Georgia Tech
11-2
10
1787
.6270
10
921
.6244
.6900
10
.649
10
Iowa
10-2
11
1772
.6218
11
918
.6224
.6100
9
.618
11
Virginia Tech
9-3
12
1569
.5505
12
829
.5620
.5900
12
.568
12
LSU
9-3
13
1384
.4856
13
718
.4868
.6400
13
.537
13
Penn State
10-2
9
1800
.6316
9
950
.6441
.3200
11
.532
14
Brigham Young
10-2
14
1349
.4733
14
702
.4759
.4100
14
.453
15
Miami (FL)
9-3
15
1173
.4116
15
611
.4142
.5000
17
.442
16
West Virginia
9-3
18
730
.2561
17
429
.2908
.4600
23
.336
17
Pittsburgh
9-3
16
995
.3491
16
506
.3431
.2500
15
.314
18
Oregon State
8-4
19
722
.2533
20
368
.2495
.3600
16
.288
19
Oklahoma State
9-3
17
839
.2944
18
404
.2739
.2200
20
.263
20
Arizona
8-4
24
381
.1337
23
237
.1607
.3800
0
.225
21
Stanford
8-4
21
625
.2193
21
253
.1715
.1500
24
.180
22
Nebraska
9-4
20
631
.2214
19
391
.2651
.0100
22
.165
23
Utah
9-3
22
511
.1793
24
183
.1241
.0700
25
.124
24
USC
8-4
26
124
.0435
27
42
.0285
.2900
18
.121
25
Wisconsin
9-3
23
409
.1435
22
247
.1675
.0500
0
.120

Polls Explained: Harris, Coaches, BCS

I. Harris Interactive Poll (1/3rd)
Replaces the AP Poll. The first poll will be released September 27, then weekly through December 6. A team's score in the Harris poll will be divided by 2,850, which is the maximum number of points any team can receive if all 114 voting members rank the same team as Number 1. Example: 2,850 / 2,850 = 1.0. If a team receives a total of 114 voting points, an average of 25th place, their BCS quotient of this component would be .04. (1.0 / 25 = 0.04).


II. Coaches Poll (1/3rd)
A team's score in the USA Today poll will be divided by 1,475, which is the maximum number of points any team can receive if all 59 voting members rank the same team as Number 1. Example: 1,475 / 1,475 = 1.0. If a team receives a total of 59 voting points, an average of 25th place, their BCS quotient of this component would be .04. (1.0 / 25 = 0.04).

(Better understanding the polls: In both human polls, voting members fill out their own top 25 rankings ballot. Each team receives 1-25 points in reverse order of the way they are ranked. The 25th place team on each ballot receives 1 point, 24th place gets 2 points, 23rd receives 3 points... first place receives 25 points. This inverse point order is also applied to the computer rankings.
In the Harris Interactive College Football Poll and USA Today Coaches Poll, a team will be evaluated on the number of voting points it receives in each poll. The number of actual voters, which can vary and has varied in the past, is figured into the computation on a weekly basis in stating each team's percentage of a possible perfect score.

III. Computer rankings (1/3rd)
The computer rankings percentage is calculated by dropping the highest and lowest ranking for each team and then dividing the remaining total by 100, the maximum possible points. (Example: the 6 rankers have Team A ranked 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, and 4. Take away the 2 and 4 which leaves an average of 3rd place. The BCS quotient of this component would be 0.92. (23 / 25 = 0.92).


http://www.pattayabridge.com/bridge-cartoon/bridge-cartoon-2.gif

Simplifying the formula
The percentage totals of the Harris Interactive Poll, USA Today Poll, and the computer rankings are then averaged. The teams’ averages are ranked to produce the BCS Standings.
A = Team is No. 1 in Harris Poll with all voters = 1.000
B = Same team is No. 1 in Coaches Poll with all voters = 1.000
C = Same team is No. 3 in Computer Rankings = 0.920
Result: (A+B+C)/3 = Total Score of 0.973


http://www.collegefootballpoll.com/bcs_explained.html

http://msn.foxsports.com/cfb/polls

The Case of the "Mythical" Champion

This can lead to alot of problems for the BCS. Here's a situation: LSU beat Oklahoma 21-17 but USC was voted #1 by the AP poll after a 28-14 win over Michigan in the Rose Bowl in 2003.


Here are some other situations where this happened:

Pre-BCS Split "Mythical" Titles
1954
Ohio State (AP), UCLA (UPI Coaches Poll)
1957 Auburn (AP), Ohio State (UPI Coaches Poll)
1965 Alabama (AP), Michigan State (UPI Coaches Poll)
1970 Nebraska (AP), Texas (UPI Coaches Poll)
1973 Notre Dame (AP), Alabama (UPI Coaches Poll)
1974 Oklahoma (AP), Southern California (UPI Coaches Poll)
1978 Alabama (AP), Southern California (UPI Coaches Poll)
1990 Colorado (AP), Georgia Tech (UPI Coaches Poll) YAY COLORADO BUFFALOES! :)
1991 Miami, Fla. (AP), Washington (USA Today/CNN Coaches Poll)
1994 Nebraska (AP, USA Today/ESPN Coaches Poll)
1997 Michigan (AP), Nebraska (USA Today/ESPN Coaches Poll)


http://image.cdnl3.xosnetwork.com/pics/200/BS/BSOOGLKLYMBAXST.20081017154751.jpg

http://www.collegefootballpoll.com/bcs_explained.html
http://image.cdnl3.xosnetwork.com/pics/200/BS/BSOOGLKLYMBAXST.20081017154751.jpg